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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.18vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+1.72vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+2.21vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53+0.69vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22+1.76vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+4.95vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.52+3.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.36-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.18-3.13vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.04-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+1.34vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.02-3.20vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+0.02vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-1.61-0.34vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-2.03-1.40vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.23-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Jacksonville University2.1026.0%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University1.7820.4%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University1.268.8%1st Place
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4.69North Carolina State University1.5312.7%1st Place
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6.76The Citadel1.226.2%1st Place
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10.95Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.8%1st Place
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10.26Embry-Riddle University-0.522.0%1st Place
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6.99University of South Florida0.364.8%1st Place
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5.87University of South Carolina1.187.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Maryland0.042.4%1st Place
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12.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.4%1st Place
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8.8University of Virginia0.023.2%1st Place
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13.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.5%1st Place
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13.66William and Mary-1.610.4%1st Place
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13.6University of North Carolina-2.030.4%1st Place
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8.35Clemson University0.233.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 26.0% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 20.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Erik Volk | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William McCollum | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John TIS | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 11.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 18.6% |
| Levi Nathans | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 32.9% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 30.9% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.