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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.11+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.53+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.20-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.05+0.49vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.57+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.92+0.47vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.65-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.20-3.73vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.42-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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4.49University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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5.65Lake Forest College-0.570.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.0Purdue University-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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7.31Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Schoenwetter | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 13.7% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ian Norman | 33.5% | 24.7% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Martinson | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Laura Woldt | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 21.7% |
| Christopher Charleson | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 13.9% |
| Joe Lund | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Michael Small | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.