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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+4.34vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.02+5.92vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.36+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.18-0.23vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.53-2.24vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22-1.24vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.11vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.04-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+1.38vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.03+1.71vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.04vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-1.61-0.24vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.23-6.63vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34North Carolina State University1.2610.0%1st Place
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3.19Jacksonville University2.1025.2%1st Place
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8.92University of Virginia0.022.6%1st Place
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3.73North Carolina State University1.7818.4%1st Place
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6.92University of South Florida0.365.3%1st Place
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5.77University of South Carolina1.189.2%1st Place
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4.76North Carolina State University1.5311.4%1st Place
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6.76The Citadel1.225.1%1st Place
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10.11Embry-Riddle University-0.521.9%1st Place
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8.46University of Maryland0.043.7%1st Place
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12.38University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.9%1st Place
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13.71University of North Carolina-2.030.4%1st Place
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12.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
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13.76William and Mary-1.610.4%1st Place
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8.37Clemson University0.233.2%1st Place
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10.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 25.2% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 18.4% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| William McCollum | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| John TIS | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 11.6% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 21.9% | 33.3% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 20.4% | 17.5% |
| Levi Nathans | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 31.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.