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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.37+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.05+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.11+0.86vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.57+1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.53-1.89vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.65-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.20-3.20vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.42-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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2.87University of Notre Dame1.370.3%1st Place
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5.18University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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6.1Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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6.45Purdue University-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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7.62Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Norman | 25.8% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Power | 25.8% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Aaron Martinson | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 4.4% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Laura Woldt | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 17.2% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 13.0% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Charleson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 18.0% |
| Joe Lund | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Michael Small | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.