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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+11.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+4.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.58+3.63vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.27vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.20+4.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+0.04vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-1.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.22vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.97+0.11vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.08vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.34-5.48vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.42-0.32vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.06-3.30vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-1.59vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-9.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.29Northeastern University1.591.2%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.7310.5%1st Place
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5.41Yale University2.7313.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College2.586.5%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University2.688.9%1st Place
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4.73Harvard University3.1814.5%1st Place
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11.5Connecticut College1.202.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College2.066.5%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.2%1st Place
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11.11Boston University0.972.8%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.5%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College2.347.0%1st Place
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13.68Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont1.061.9%1st Place
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14.41Salve Regina University0.970.7%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 11.8% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Chase Decker | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 24.6% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 7.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 40.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.