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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+2.84vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.10vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.36+3.00vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22+1.87vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.52+3.98vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.04+1.50vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+2.85vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.53-4.35vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.02-1.24vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.18-5.25vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.03+1.72vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+0.14vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.65vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-1.61-1.19vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.23-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84North Carolina State University1.7817.8%1st Place
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3.1Jacksonville University2.1026.6%1st Place
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5.3North Carolina State University1.268.9%1st Place
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7.0University of South Florida0.365.1%1st Place
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6.87The Citadel1.225.0%1st Place
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9.98Embry-Riddle University-0.522.4%1st Place
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8.5University of Maryland0.042.6%1st Place
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10.85Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.7%1st Place
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4.65North Carolina State University1.5312.8%1st Place
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8.76University of Virginia0.023.1%1st Place
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5.75University of South Carolina1.188.9%1st Place
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13.72University of North Carolina-2.030.4%1st Place
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13.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
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12.35University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.5%1st Place
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13.81William and Mary-1.610.5%1st Place
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8.38Clemson University0.233.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 17.8% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 26.6% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| William McCollum | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| David Manley | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 23.9% | 29.8% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 19.6% |
| John TIS | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 11.8% |
| Levi Nathans | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 33.7% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.