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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.11+3.19vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.57+3.31vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.05+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.20-2.05vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.53-1.91vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.65-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.20-3.22vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.42-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Notre Dame1.370.3%1st Place
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5.19University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
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6.31Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Minnesota0.050.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Wisconsin1.200.3%1st Place
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4.09University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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6.41Purdue University-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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7.62Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 28.7% | 24.3% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
| Laura Woldt | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 17.5% |
| Aaron Martinson | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Ian Norman | 28.2% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Coral Rodriguez | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Charleson | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| Joe Lund | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
| Michael Small | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.