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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+2.97vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+1.15vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.77+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.05+3.00vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.40-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.06+1.12vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19-0.52vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.77+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.01+1.51vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-1.40+1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-1.57vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-1.98vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.57-0.96vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.83-3.27vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-2.38vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97North Carolina State University1.0916.1%1st Place
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3.15Jacksonville University1.7025.8%1st Place
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6.1North Carolina State University0.777.6%1st Place
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7.0University of South Florida0.055.3%1st Place
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3.49North Carolina State University1.4020.2%1st Place
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7.12University of Virginia0.065.4%1st Place
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6.48The Citadel0.195.7%1st Place
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9.08Clemson University-0.772.2%1st Place
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10.51University of Maryland-1.011.6%1st Place
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11.48William and Mary-1.401.4%1st Place
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9.43University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.522.5%1st Place
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10.02Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.8%1st Place
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12.04University of North Carolina-1.571.0%1st Place
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10.73Embry-Riddle University-1.831.8%1st Place
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12.62University of South Carolina-1.800.8%1st Place
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12.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 16.1% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 25.8% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Chase | 20.2% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% |
| Zachary Vance | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Davis Smith | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 22.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.