← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.40+2.53vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.09+2.00vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.70+0.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia0.06+3.10vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.77+0.86vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.05+1.15vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel0.19-0.53vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University-0.77+1.14vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52+0.36vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+0.19vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-1.01-0.37vs Predicted
-
12Embry-Riddle University-1.83-1.40vs Predicted
-
13William and Mary-1.40-1.69vs Predicted
-
14University of South Carolina-1.80-1.33vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-2.16vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-1.57-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.53North Carolina State University1.4020.9%1st Place
-
4.0North Carolina State University1.0915.8%1st Place
-
3.16Jacksonville University1.7023.9%1st Place
-
7.1University of Virginia0.065.5%1st Place
-
5.86North Carolina State University0.777.5%1st Place
-
7.15University of South Florida0.055.6%1st Place
-
6.47The Citadel0.196.8%1st Place
-
9.14Clemson University-0.773.0%1st Place
-
9.36University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.522.5%1st Place
-
10.19Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.7%1st Place
-
10.63University of Maryland-1.011.5%1st Place
-
10.6Embry-Riddle University-1.831.9%1st Place
-
11.31William and Mary-1.401.5%1st Place
-
12.67University of South Carolina-1.800.4%1st Place
-
12.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.8%1st Place
-
11.99University of North Carolina-1.570.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 20.9% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 15.8% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 23.9% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Vance | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 25.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 26.4% |
| Davis Smith | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.