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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.05+5.14vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.06+4.21vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.40-0.38vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.77+0.99vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09-1.76vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19-0.35vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.40+3.74vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29+2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.26+0.47vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-1.99vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.09vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.57-1.97vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.45-3.19vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.77-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Jacksonville University1.7024.1%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida0.055.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Virginia0.065.4%1st Place
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3.62North Carolina State University1.4021.0%1st Place
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5.99North Carolina State University0.777.5%1st Place
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4.24North Carolina State University1.0915.0%1st Place
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6.65The Citadel0.196.7%1st Place
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11.74William and Mary-1.401.4%1st Place
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11.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.291.4%1st Place
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9.43University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.522.5%1st Place
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11.47University of South Carolina-1.261.6%1st Place
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10.01Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.2%1st Place
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10.91Embry-Riddle University-1.831.9%1st Place
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12.03University of North Carolina-1.570.7%1st Place
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11.81University of Maryland-1.451.3%1st Place
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9.31Clemson University-0.772.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 24.1% | 24.1% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Chase | 21.0% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 15.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% |
| Zachary Vance | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Davis Smith | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 20.1% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.7% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.