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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.17vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.40+1.57vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+3.56vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.77+1.91vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.09-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.06+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.05+0.20vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.83+2.93vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52+0.49vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-1.57+2.34vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.64vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-1.40-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.26-2.70vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.45-3.17vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.77-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Jacksonville University1.7024.4%1st Place
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3.57North Carolina State University1.4020.1%1st Place
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6.56The Citadel0.196.2%1st Place
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5.91North Carolina State University0.778.8%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University1.0915.2%1st Place
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7.04University of Virginia0.065.8%1st Place
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7.2University of South Florida0.054.7%1st Place
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10.93Embry-Riddle University-1.831.8%1st Place
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9.49University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.522.3%1st Place
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12.34University of North Carolina-1.571.1%1st Place
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10.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.1%1st Place
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11.64William and Mary-1.401.6%1st Place
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11.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.291.3%1st Place
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11.3University of South Carolina-1.261.5%1st Place
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11.83University of Maryland-1.450.9%1st Place
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9.17Clemson University-0.772.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 24.4% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 20.1% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Zachary Vance | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Davis Smith | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 21.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 15.8% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% |
| Carter Saunders | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 16.6% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.