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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.20vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.77+4.05vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+1.06vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.40-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.05+2.06vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.26+4.45vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.06-0.83vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+1.36vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.29+1.34vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.32vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-1.57+0.25vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-1.40-1.38vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.45-2.19vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-5.36vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.77-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Jacksonville University1.7025.7%1st Place
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6.05North Carolina State University0.778.0%1st Place
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4.06North Carolina State University1.0914.4%1st Place
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3.54North Carolina State University1.4021.3%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida0.055.8%1st Place
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6.58The Citadel0.196.2%1st Place
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11.45University of South Carolina-1.261.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Virginia0.065.3%1st Place
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10.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.5%1st Place
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11.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.291.6%1st Place
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10.68Embry-Riddle University-1.831.8%1st Place
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12.25University of North Carolina-1.570.9%1st Place
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11.62William and Mary-1.400.8%1st Place
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11.81University of Maryland-1.451.2%1st Place
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9.64University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.8%1st Place
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9.18Clemson University-0.772.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 25.7% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.4% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 21.3% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% |
| Davis Smith | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 22.6% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.1% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.