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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+0.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.33+1.49vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+2.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.78-1.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.49-0.82vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.51vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.70-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Rhode Island1.0522.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Vermont1.0524.9%1st Place
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4.49Brown University0.3311.2%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.574.6%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University0.7819.8%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.4%1st Place
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6.18University of Minnesota-0.494.8%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.1%1st Place
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5.72Salve Regina University-0.705.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 22.1% | 21.0% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.9% | 22.9% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Michael Morley | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 14.3% |
| Niall Sheridan | 19.8% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 7.6% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 15.4% |
| Norman Walker | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 49.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.