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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+1.24vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.70+2.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.46vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+1.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33-1.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.78-3.66vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.49-1.91vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Vermont1.0524.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Rhode Island1.0521.1%1st Place
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5.7Salve Regina University-0.705.7%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.9%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.574.5%1st Place
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4.45Brown University0.3311.6%1st Place
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3.34Tufts University0.7820.2%1st Place
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6.09University of Minnesota-0.495.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.1% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 21.1% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 10.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 7.3% |
| Michael Morley | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 21.3% | 14.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Niall Sheridan | 20.2% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 14.4% |
| Norman Walker | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.