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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.24+1.37vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.13+1.70vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.06-0.49vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79-1.13vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.74-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Villanova University1.240.3%1st Place
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3.7Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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2.51Drexel University1.060.3%1st Place
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2.87Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Delaware-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 31.9% | 29.0% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 9.7% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 23.3% | 29.3% | 7.1% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 28.2% | 25.5% | 22.5% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Liam Boyle | 21.0% | 19.4% | 25.2% | 21.4% | 11.8% | 1.2% |
| Matthias Chia | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 33.9% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Cavaliere | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.