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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+6.95vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.34vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.88vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+3.95vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.20+6.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+0.36vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-2.97vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.59+2.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.37-3.03vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42+1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.06-1.59vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97+0.53vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.43-4.82vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.97-5.26vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.34-9.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Boston College2.205.3%1st Place
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4.34Harvard University3.1817.2%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.407.9%1st Place
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7.95Bowdoin College2.385.7%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College1.202.5%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.4%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island2.787.5%1st Place
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5.03Yale University2.7314.6%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University1.592.6%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.6%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.375.7%1st Place
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13.18Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont1.062.5%1st Place
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14.53Salve Regina University0.970.8%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University1.433.5%1st Place
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10.74Boston University0.972.8%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.346.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.2% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 14.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Blake Behrens | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 19.6% | 21.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 41.3% |
| Jack Flores | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Chase Decker | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.