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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+1.19vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.70+2.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.78-0.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.33-0.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+0.16vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.49-1.92vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Vermont1.0524.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Rhode Island1.0521.9%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University-0.705.2%1st Place
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3.36Tufts University0.7820.2%1st Place
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4.44Brown University0.3310.2%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.574.3%1st Place
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5.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.3%1st Place
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6.08University of Minnesota-0.495.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.1% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Adam Strobridge | 21.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 10.7% |
| Niall Sheridan | 20.2% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Michael Morley | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 15.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 9.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 13.8% |
| Norman Walker | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.