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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+1.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.33+1.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.78-1.67vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.70-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.49-0.81vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-1.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Vermont1.0524.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Rhode Island1.0522.4%1st Place
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4.51Brown University0.3310.5%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.9%1st Place
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3.33Tufts University0.7819.6%1st Place
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5.71Salve Regina University-0.705.3%1st Place
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6.19University of Minnesota-0.495.1%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.575.2%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 24.1% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 22.4% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 8.5% |
| Niall Sheridan | 19.6% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 14.6% |
| Michael Morley | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 13.7% |
| Norman Walker | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.