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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+0.28vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.33+0.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+1.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.49-0.82vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.70-2.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Tufts University0.7822.0%1st Place
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2.98University of Vermont1.0524.6%1st Place
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3.28University of Rhode Island1.0520.4%1st Place
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4.36Brown University0.3310.9%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.574.7%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.6%1st Place
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6.18University of Minnesota-0.494.0%1st Place
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5.68Salve Regina University-0.705.7%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Niall Sheridan | 22.0% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Calvin Lamosse | 24.6% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Adam Strobridge | 20.4% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Keller Morrison | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
Michael Morley | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 14.8% |
John Divelbiss | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 7.0% |
Tiernan O'Kane | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 16.8% |
Sean Crandall | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.6% |
Norman Walker | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.