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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+1.04vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.70+2.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.33-0.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.78-2.67vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.49-0.88vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-2.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Rhode Island1.0521.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Vermont1.0523.4%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University-0.706.0%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.8%1st Place
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4.56Brown University0.339.8%1st Place
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3.33Tufts University0.7820.8%1st Place
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6.12University of Minnesota-0.494.4%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.575.7%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 21.1% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 23.4% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 8.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 20.8% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 14.8% |
| Michael Morley | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 13.5% |
| Norman Walker | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.