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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+1.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.33+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.49+1.98vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.05-3.01vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.70-1.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-1.87vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Tufts University0.7819.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Rhode Island1.0521.6%1st Place
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4.44Brown University0.3313.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Minnesota-0.495.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Vermont1.0523.4%1st Place
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5.66Salve Regina University-0.705.5%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.574.5%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 19.2% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 14.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 7.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 23.4% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 9.0% |
| Michael Morley | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 14.1% |
| Norman Walker | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.