← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College0.79+1.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania0.02+1.43vs Predicted
-
3Penn State University0.13+0.30vs Predicted
-
4Villanova University-0.47+0.07vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University1.06-2.74vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-1.74-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.52Ocean County College0.790.3%1st Place
-
3.43University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
-
3.3Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
-
4.07Villanova University-0.470.1%1st Place
-
2.26Drexel University1.060.4%1st Place
-
5.42University of Delaware-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 27.1% | 26.7% | 23.6% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Matthias Chia | 12.9% | 15.9% | 20.6% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 7.1% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 14.5% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 25.8% | 18.0% | 4.9% |
| Jennifer White | 8.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 35.4% | 14.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 35.7% | 28.2% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Cavaliere | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.