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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+2.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.78+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+0.26vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.33+0.69vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.62vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+0.48vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.70-1.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-0.49-2.45vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.17-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Vermont1.0522.4%1st Place
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3.38Tufts University0.7821.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Rhode Island1.0521.9%1st Place
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4.69Brown University0.3310.3%1st Place
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5.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.157.0%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.574.7%1st Place
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6.0Salve Regina University-0.705.4%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.8%1st Place
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6.55University of Minnesota-0.493.3%1st Place
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7.59Wesleyan University-1.172.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Calvin Lamosse | 22.4% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Niall Sheridan | 21.0% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Adam Strobridge | 21.9% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Keller Morrison | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
John Divelbiss | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
Michael Morley | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 10.4% |
Sean Crandall | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% |
Norman Walker | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 42.7% |
Tiernan O'Kane | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 9.9% |
Dennis Law | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.