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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+7.02vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+0.23vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97+5.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+4.05vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59+4.72vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20+0.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.37-1.00vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-4.85vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20+0.17vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-4.50vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97+1.40vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.06-2.67vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.42-1.73vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.34-8.84vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Bowdoin College2.385.3%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University2.408.3%1st Place
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4.23Harvard University3.1818.2%1st Place
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10.79Boston University0.972.4%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University1.592.7%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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8.0Brown University2.376.0%1st Place
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5.15Yale University2.7314.2%1st Place
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11.17Connecticut College1.202.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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14.4Salve Regina University0.970.8%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont1.061.8%1st Place
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13.27Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College2.347.8%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.2% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 40.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 22.4% |
| Chase Decker | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.