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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+7.94vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+10.25vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+4.30vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.09vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95+3.92vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.97vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48-0.40vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.78+2.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.99vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.54+2.76vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.45+0.33vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-0.33vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.66-0.77vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-1.91vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.90-5.60vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.78-8.97vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.97-7.25vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.77-8.50vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.21-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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12.25Princeton University1.872.6%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.389.3%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University2.459.4%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College1.956.0%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.8%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University2.4810.5%1st Place
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10.77Brown University1.783.6%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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12.76Tufts University1.541.7%1st Place
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11.33University of South Florida1.453.6%1st Place
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11.67Fordham University1.893.4%1st Place
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12.23Washington College1.662.8%1st Place
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12.09Northeastern University1.593.3%1st Place
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9.4Yale University1.905.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island2.789.3%1st Place
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9.75Boston College1.974.4%1st Place
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9.5Tulane University1.775.7%1st Place
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13.42Christopher Newport University1.212.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| Bryan Trammell | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Brian Fox | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.