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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+8.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+4.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+4.24vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.07vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87+7.31vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+0.12vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.78+2.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+3.21vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.97-0.16vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89+0.90vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59+0.12vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.90-3.93vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.77-4.59vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.45-3.66vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.66-3.79vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.54-4.34vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.38-10.90vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.21-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Dartmouth College1.955.8%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University2.4810.2%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University2.458.8%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.0%1st Place
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12.31Princeton University1.873.0%1st Place
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8.9Boston University1.796.8%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island2.788.5%1st Place
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10.37Brown University1.783.7%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.9%1st Place
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9.84Boston College1.974.2%1st Place
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11.9Fordham University1.892.5%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University1.592.8%1st Place
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9.07Yale University1.906.2%1st Place
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9.41Tulane University1.774.9%1st Place
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11.34University of South Florida1.453.4%1st Place
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12.21Washington College1.662.7%1st Place
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12.66Tufts University1.542.8%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.3810.2%1st Place
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13.36Christopher Newport University1.211.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brian Fox | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.