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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+0.50vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.45+0.88vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.93-0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Toronto0.29+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Toronto0.29-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.09-2.82vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.09-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Fordham University3.110.6%1st Place
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2.88Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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2.43Queen's University1.930.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Toronto0.290.0%1st Place
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4.01University of Toronto0.290.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 63.8% | 25.3% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 11.0% | 24.3% | 35.9% | 22.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Reeves | 19.4% | 36.2% | 28.2% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oguz Aras | 3.0% | 7.3% | 15.6% | 34.1% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oguz Aras | 3.0% | 7.3% | 15.6% | 34.1% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Sellstrom | 2.8% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 27.0% | 51.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Sellstrom | 2.8% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 27.0% | 51.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.