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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+5.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.54+10.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+6.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+2.72vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.89+6.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.97+2.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45-0.72vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.87+3.66vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-1.04vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-1.84vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.78-1.61vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-5.93vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.66-1.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-2.81vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.77-6.68vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.21-3.82vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.45-6.70vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.59-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95University of Rhode Island2.789.3%1st Place
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12.65Tufts University1.542.8%1st Place
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9.42Yale University1.905.5%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.4810.1%1st Place
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11.75Fordham University1.892.6%1st Place
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7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.5%1st Place
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9.55Boston College1.975.5%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University2.4510.3%1st Place
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12.66Princeton University1.872.1%1st Place
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8.96Boston University1.796.5%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College1.955.2%1st Place
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10.39Brown University1.784.0%1st Place
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7.07Bowdoin College2.389.6%1st Place
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12.1Washington College1.662.9%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.9%1st Place
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9.32Tulane University1.774.4%1st Place
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13.18Christopher Newport University1.212.0%1st Place
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11.3University of South Florida1.453.4%1st Place
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12.29Northeastern University1.592.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Brian Fox | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 17.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.