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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+5.09vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+2.51vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.67+0.59vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.00+4.32vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.64vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.61+0.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.16-3.29vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.23+1.37vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50-0.28vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.83-0.59vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.84-1.56vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.27-6.70vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.13-4.41vs Predicted
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16Colgate University0.49-1.73vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.13-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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4.51St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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3.59Georgetown University4.670.2%1st Place
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8.32SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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5.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.4Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.72Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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11.44Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.59Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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14.27Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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14.81Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 14.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Aras | 22.6% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Green | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Gill | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 3.3% |
| Philip Alley | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Beals | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 30.4% | 36.8% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 23.4% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.