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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+6.90vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.34+4.03vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+2.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+0.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.64vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.97+2.77vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.20+2.49vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59+1.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.36vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-4.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.37-4.91vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-3.76vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-0.69vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-5.01vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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4.41Harvard University3.1817.7%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College2.347.4%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.7315.3%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island2.785.8%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University2.408.1%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.2%1st Place
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10.77Boston University0.973.0%1st Place
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11.49Connecticut College1.201.7%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University1.592.5%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.2%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.385.7%1st Place
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8.09Brown University2.376.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.433.0%1st Place
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14.31Salve Regina University0.971.2%1st Place
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10.99University of Vermont0.872.6%1st Place
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13.26Fairfield University0.421.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.7% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 15.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Flores | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 40.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.