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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.78+9.66vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+6.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+6.14vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.77+5.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45+5.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+0.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.95+1.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.97+0.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.02vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.54+0.74vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-6.05vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.21-0.60vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.66-2.71vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.89-4.17vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.87-4.77vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.59-5.70vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.45-11.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.66Brown University1.783.5%1st Place
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8.95Boston University1.796.1%1st Place
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9.14Yale University1.906.4%1st Place
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9.31Tulane University1.775.1%1st Place
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6.59Harvard University2.4810.1%1st Place
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11.37University of South Florida1.453.6%1st Place
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7.29Bowdoin College2.389.2%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College1.955.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston College1.975.9%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.1%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.5%1st Place
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12.74Tufts University1.542.8%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island2.789.2%1st Place
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13.4Christopher Newport University1.211.8%1st Place
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12.29Washington College1.662.5%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University1.892.6%1st Place
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12.23Princeton University1.872.8%1st Place
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12.3Northeastern University1.593.4%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University2.458.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Brian Fox | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 17.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.