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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+5.59vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.78+8.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+4.20vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+3.09vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+2.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.03vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+4.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+3.97vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90+0.28vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.21+3.32vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.87+1.39vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.54+0.84vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.66-0.77vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-5.08vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.95-5.76vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.77-6.62vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.45-5.73vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.59-5.88vs Predicted
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19Boston College1.97-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Harvard University2.4810.9%1st Place
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10.42Brown University1.784.5%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island2.788.3%1st Place
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7.09Bowdoin College2.389.3%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University2.457.8%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.3110.0%1st Place
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11.69Fordham University1.893.5%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.1%1st Place
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9.28Yale University1.905.1%1st Place
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13.32Christopher Newport University1.212.2%1st Place
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12.39Princeton University1.872.2%1st Place
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12.84Tufts University1.542.2%1st Place
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12.23Washington College1.662.4%1st Place
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8.92Boston University1.795.9%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College1.955.9%1st Place
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9.38Tulane University1.775.1%1st Place
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11.27University of South Florida1.452.9%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University1.592.5%1st Place
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9.64Boston College1.975.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Brian Fox | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 17.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.