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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+5.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.38+5.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.54+9.52vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.16vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+3.40vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.87+5.39vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+3.70vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.48-2.54vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.97-0.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.90-1.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+0.24vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.78-2.51vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.66-1.74vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-6.07vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.21-2.66vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.77-7.91vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.45-6.47vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.59-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87University of Rhode Island2.789.7%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.388.8%1st Place
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12.52Tufts University1.542.5%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.457.8%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College1.955.1%1st Place
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12.39Princeton University1.873.0%1st Place
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11.7Fordham University1.893.2%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University2.4810.4%1st Place
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9.61Boston College1.975.6%1st Place
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9.3Yale University1.905.2%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.4%1st Place
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10.49Brown University1.784.3%1st Place
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12.26Washington College1.663.5%1st Place
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8.93Boston University1.795.5%1st Place
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13.34Christopher Newport University1.211.8%1st Place
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9.09Tulane University1.775.7%1st Place
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11.53University of South Florida1.453.0%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.592.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Brian Fox | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 17.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.