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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+6.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+7.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.82vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+3.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+7.12vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.97+3.49vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+2.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45-0.75vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.89+2.71vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.21+3.20vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.78-0.34vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.87+0.37vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.48-6.37vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.84-4.23vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.66-2.84vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.45-4.76vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.59-4.71vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.54-5.50vs Predicted
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19Yale University1.90-9.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05University of Rhode Island2.789.4%1st Place
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9.14Boston University1.796.4%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College2.388.8%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.9%1st Place
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9.49Boston College1.975.9%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College1.955.7%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University2.458.3%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University1.893.1%1st Place
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13.2Christopher Newport University1.211.9%1st Place
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10.66Brown University1.784.5%1st Place
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12.37Princeton University1.872.5%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.4810.4%1st Place
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9.77Tulane University1.845.5%1st Place
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12.16Washington College1.662.9%1st Place
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11.24University of South Florida1.453.2%1st Place
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12.29Northeastern University1.592.8%1st Place
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12.5Tufts University1.542.4%1st Place
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9.31Yale University1.904.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Brian Fox | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.5% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.