← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rochester0.09+1.02vs Predicted
-
2University of Toronto-0.64+0.52vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester0.09-0.98vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University0.95-2.54vs Predicted
-
5University of Toronto-0.64-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02University of Rochester0.090.3%1st Place
-
2.52University of Toronto-0.640.1%1st Place
-
2.02University of Rochester0.090.3%1st Place
-
1.46Queen's University0.950.6%1st Place
-
2.52University of Toronto-0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Pavlos | 25.5% | 47.1% | 27.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Atin | 12.7% | 22.4% | 64.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 25.5% | 47.1% | 27.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Goldfarb | 61.8% | 30.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Atin | 12.7% | 22.4% | 64.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.