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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+6.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+6.58vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+3.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+6.87vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+2.78vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+2.24vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.84+1.70vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.87+3.20vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.45+1.41vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.90-1.97vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-0.13vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-6.00vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.78-3.36vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.66-2.76vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.54-3.21vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.48-10.25vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.59-5.65vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.21-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Roger Williams University2.458.8%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.3110.2%1st Place
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9.58Boston College1.975.7%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island2.789.2%1st Place
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11.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston University1.796.6%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College1.954.4%1st Place
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9.7Tulane University1.844.6%1st Place
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12.2Princeton University1.872.4%1st Place
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11.41University of South Florida1.453.0%1st Place
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9.03Yale University1.905.5%1st Place
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11.87Fordham University1.893.6%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College2.388.9%1st Place
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10.64Brown University1.785.5%1st Place
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12.24Washington College1.662.9%1st Place
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12.79Tufts University1.543.2%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University2.488.4%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University1.592.4%1st Place
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13.24Christopher Newport University1.211.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% |
| Brian Fox | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.