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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+8.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+10.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.78+7.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.10vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87+7.26vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+3.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45+3.27vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.48-2.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-3.85vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.84-2.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.54-0.33vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.89-2.20vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.90-5.87vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.45-8.95vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.66-4.74vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.59-5.79vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.21-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Boston College1.974.7%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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10.6Brown University1.783.6%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.8%1st Place
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12.26Princeton University1.872.9%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College1.955.7%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College2.389.2%1st Place
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11.27University of South Florida1.453.3%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University2.489.7%1st Place
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8.85Boston University1.796.4%1st Place
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7.15University of Rhode Island2.788.9%1st Place
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9.54Tulane University1.845.3%1st Place
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12.67Tufts University1.542.9%1st Place
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11.8Fordham University1.893.1%1st Place
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9.13Yale University1.905.5%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.459.9%1st Place
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12.26Washington College1.662.4%1st Place
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12.21Northeastern University1.592.9%1st Place
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13.26Christopher Newport University1.212.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% |
| Brian Fox | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.