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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+8.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+4.69vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+5.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.85vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.89+6.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.54+6.63vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.97+2.46vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.90+1.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08+0.03vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.78+0.20vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.84-1.54vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.87+0.25vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.48-6.68vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.17-2.00vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.66-2.90vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.45-9.14vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.45-5.98vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-6.22vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University0.60-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Dartmouth College1.954.5%1st Place
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6.69University of Rhode Island2.789.6%1st Place
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8.68Boston University1.796.2%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.9%1st Place
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11.69Fordham University1.893.4%1st Place
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12.63Tufts University1.542.5%1st Place
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9.46Boston College1.975.2%1st Place
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9.06Yale University1.905.5%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
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10.2Brown University1.784.8%1st Place
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9.46Tulane University1.844.9%1st Place
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12.25Princeton University1.872.8%1st Place
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6.32Harvard University2.4810.8%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University1.172.8%1st Place
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12.1Washington College1.663.1%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University2.4510.2%1st Place
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11.02University of South Florida1.454.2%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.2%1st Place
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14.73Christopher Newport University0.601.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.