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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+4.63vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+9.00vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.08+5.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+6.92vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+2.99vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78-0.12vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.78+2.44vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.87+3.27vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-1.19vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.84-1.44vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.21+1.00vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.54-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.45-2.72vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.97-5.68vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.45-8.95vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.90-7.83vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.89-6.21vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.17-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.4%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.489.3%1st Place
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12.0Washington College1.662.6%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.6%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College1.955.8%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island2.7810.5%1st Place
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10.44Brown University1.784.1%1st Place
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12.27Princeton University1.872.1%1st Place
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8.81Boston University1.795.8%1st Place
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9.56Tulane University1.845.4%1st Place
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13.0Christopher Newport University1.212.2%1st Place
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12.54Tufts University1.542.4%1st Place
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11.28University of South Florida1.454.4%1st Place
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9.32Boston College1.975.7%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.459.3%1st Place
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9.17Yale University1.904.9%1st Place
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11.79Fordham University1.893.6%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University1.173.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Brian Fox | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.5% |
| Bryan Trammell | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.