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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+2.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.16+1.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.67-0.38vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50+4.74vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.61+0.40vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.65-0.72vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.00+0.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-2.30vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.27-2.58vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.83+0.42vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.23-1.59vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.84-2.54vs Predicted
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15Colgate University0.49-0.78vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.13-5.25vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.13-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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4.49St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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3.62Georgetown University4.670.2%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.4Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.28Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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8.03SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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7.42Cornell University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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10.41George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.46Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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14.22Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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10.75Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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14.82Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Aras | 21.4% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Green | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Philip Alley | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Gill | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 11.3% | 3.8% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Beals | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 32.5% | 33.9% |
| David Coplon | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 23.5% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.