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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+5.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.69vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.97+6.81vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.34+2.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+0.89vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-2.62vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.200.00vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.37-1.01vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.87vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-5.97vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87-1.01vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.43-2.82vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-2.11vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-0.64vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-2.63vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.20-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Rhode Island2.787.3%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.1%1st Place
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10.81Boston University0.973.1%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College2.346.5%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University2.408.0%1st Place
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4.38Harvard University3.1818.6%1st Place
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8.0Boston College2.205.6%1st Place
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7.99Brown University2.376.2%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College2.384.4%1st Place
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5.03Yale University2.7313.5%1st Place
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10.99University of Vermont0.873.3%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University1.433.2%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University1.592.2%1st Place
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14.36Salve Regina University0.970.8%1st Place
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13.37Fairfield University0.421.2%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College1.201.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| Chase Decker | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.6% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Jack Flores | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 10.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 41.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 22.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.