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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute-0.17+2.38vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.95+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Toronto-0.64-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.09-1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.09-2.92vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.61-4.49vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-0.64-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Webb Institute-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.14Queen's University0.950.4%1st Place
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3.88University of Toronto-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Rochester0.090.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Rochester0.090.2%1st Place
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2.51Fordham University0.610.3%1st Place
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3.88University of Toronto-0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Zangle | 12.6% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Goldfarb | 36.8% | 29.3% | 19.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Atin | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 45.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 15.5% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 25.6% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 15.5% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 25.6% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wachowicz | 27.5% | 25.7% | 22.8% | 16.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Atin | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 45.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.