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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+9.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+3.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+8.54vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+5.85vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.58+0.97vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.81+2.70vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71+1.11vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+0.82vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+1.96vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.04-2.85vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.27vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.18-4.69vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.19+1.73vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.84-2.07vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.10-8.26vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-7.45vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.73-4.85vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida1.19-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38Brown University1.724.0%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University2.6815.3%1st Place
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11.54Tufts University1.512.5%1st Place
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9.85Fordham University1.625.2%1st Place
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5.97Boston College2.5811.1%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College2.067.3%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island1.815.5%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College1.715.2%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.046.7%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.3%1st Place
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8.31Yale University2.187.0%1st Place
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15.73Washington College0.190.5%1st Place
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12.93Princeton University0.842.4%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University2.107.5%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.2%1st Place
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13.15Christopher Newport University0.731.8%1st Place
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11.28University of South Florida1.192.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Peter Busch | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| bella casaretto | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jack Derry | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Mateo Farina | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 40.4% |
| Asher Green | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.