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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+9.30vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.04+6.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+7.95vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+2.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.18+2.26vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.84+5.97vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.81+0.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65-0.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.12vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.71-2.84vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.06-5.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.51-2.52vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.62-5.28vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.73-3.01vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.90vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.19-2.40vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida1.19-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3Brown University1.724.0%1st Place
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8.01Tulane University2.046.8%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University2.6814.5%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.2%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.107.7%1st Place
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8.26Yale University2.186.5%1st Place
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12.97Princeton University0.841.8%1st Place
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5.88Boston College2.5812.6%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island1.814.5%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.2%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College1.715.5%1st Place
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7.96Bowdoin College2.067.2%1st Place
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11.48Tufts University1.513.5%1st Place
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9.72Fordham University1.625.2%1st Place
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12.99Christopher Newport University0.732.1%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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15.6Washington College0.191.1%1st Place
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11.22University of South Florida1.193.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Farina | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Asher Green | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% |
| Peter Busch | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| bella casaretto | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 40.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.