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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.15vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+3.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.18+5.38vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+3.94vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.04+3.19vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.07+5.94vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19+4.26vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71+1.04vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+1.04vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62-0.23vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.53vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-4.19vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73+0.30vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.72-3.57vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.84-1.92vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.51-4.57vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.81-7.38vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.19-2.42vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Roger Williams University2.6815.2%1st Place
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5.8Boston College2.5811.6%1st Place
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8.38Yale University2.186.5%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College2.067.0%1st Place
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8.19Tulane University2.047.0%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University1.073.1%1st Place
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11.26University of South Florida1.193.0%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College1.715.9%1st Place
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10.04Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University1.624.9%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.3%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.107.2%1st Place
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13.3Christopher Newport University0.731.7%1st Place
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10.43Brown University1.723.9%1st Place
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13.08Princeton University0.842.0%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University1.513.5%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island1.814.2%1st Place
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15.58Washington College0.191.3%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| bella casaretto | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
| Jed Bell | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Asher Green | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 39.1% |
| Jack Derry | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.