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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+1.08vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University1.03+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.05+1.19vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.20-1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93-3.77vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.11-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08University of South Florida3.000.4%1st Place
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4.25Embry-Riddle University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Florida1.050.1%1st Place
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2.86Eckerd College2.200.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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5.39Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 38.1% | 31.0% | 19.0% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| William Layne | 4.7% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 23.9% | 33.0% | 17.3% |
| Evan Miller | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 24.5% | 35.6% | 14.2% |
| Erik Brydges | 17.2% | 20.8% | 31.3% | 21.4% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 32.6% | 31.2% | 20.9% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Chad Murray | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.