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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.19vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.06+5.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+7.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.18+4.34vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+4.74vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.62+3.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51+4.73vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-0.11vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71+0.20vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.84+2.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.98vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-0.88vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.58-7.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.81-4.23vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.03vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-6.38vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.04-8.70vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.73-4.98vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.19-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Roger Williams University2.6815.7%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College2.066.5%1st Place
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10.27Brown University1.723.5%1st Place
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8.34Yale University2.187.4%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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9.86Fordham University1.624.5%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University1.512.8%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University2.107.0%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College1.714.5%1st Place
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12.86Princeton University0.842.5%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.8%1st Place
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11.12University of South Florida1.193.4%1st Place
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5.76Boston College2.5813.4%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island1.815.2%1st Place
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11.97Northeastern University1.073.2%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.9%1st Place
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8.3Tulane University2.045.9%1st Place
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13.02Christopher Newport University0.732.5%1st Place
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15.55Washington College0.191.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 15.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Mateo Farina | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Asher Green | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Peter Busch | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.