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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+6.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.81+7.77vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+6.86vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+1.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19+5.30vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+2.66vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.72+2.39vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.62+0.57vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+1.92vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.19+4.56vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84+0.98vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.51-1.60vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.06-6.18vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.71-5.91vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.04-7.80vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.58-11.19vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-5.90vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University0.73-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Harvard University2.107.6%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island1.814.3%1st Place
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9.86Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University2.6813.4%1st Place
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8.37Yale University2.185.5%1st Place
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11.3University of South Florida1.193.7%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.9%1st Place
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10.39Brown University1.724.7%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University1.625.2%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University1.073.2%1st Place
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15.56Washington College0.190.9%1st Place
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12.98Princeton University0.842.1%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University1.513.8%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College2.066.6%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College1.715.7%1st Place
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8.2Tulane University2.047.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston College2.5811.2%1st Place
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12.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.5%1st Place
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13.2Christopher Newport University0.731.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Jed Bell | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 37.5% |
| Asher Green | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Peter Busch | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.