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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.18+7.32vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+3.10vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.04+5.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+3.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.81+4.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+5.89vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.72+3.46vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71+1.30vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.95vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.73+2.95vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-3.12vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.58-6.15vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.84-0.09vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-4.20vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-5.07vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.51-4.43vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.19-5.87vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-6.08vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.19-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32Yale University2.186.6%1st Place
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5.1Roger Williams University2.6816.2%1st Place
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8.13Tulane University2.046.3%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.107.5%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island1.814.8%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.5%1st Place
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10.46Brown University1.723.9%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College1.715.2%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.9%1st Place
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12.95Christopher Newport University0.732.5%1st Place
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7.88Bowdoin College2.067.2%1st Place
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5.85Boston College2.5812.4%1st Place
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12.91Princeton University0.842.5%1st Place
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9.8Fordham University1.624.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University1.512.9%1st Place
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11.13University of South Florida1.193.9%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University1.072.8%1st Place
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15.41Washington College0.190.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 16.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Jed Bell | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| bella casaretto | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.