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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+9.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.81+7.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.71+6.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.58+1.76vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+2.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.18+2.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-1.69vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+4.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+1.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51+1.57vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-3.19vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.73+1.08vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-3.33vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-4.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.33vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.84-3.12vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.04-8.98vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.19-6.74vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.19-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.31Brown University1.724.5%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island1.815.8%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College1.715.2%1st Place
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5.76Boston College2.5812.3%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University2.107.3%1st Place
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8.42Yale University2.186.7%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University2.6814.0%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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10.01Boston University1.654.5%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University1.512.9%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.067.0%1st Place
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13.08Christopher Newport University0.731.9%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.7%1st Place
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9.84Fordham University1.624.8%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.0%1st Place
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12.88Princeton University0.842.4%1st Place
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8.02Tulane University2.047.6%1st Place
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11.26University of South Florida1.192.4%1st Place
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15.45Washington College0.191.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| bella casaretto | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Peter Busch | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Asher Green | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.