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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.06+6.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+7.04vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+6.92vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+7.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.81+3.73vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.62+3.02vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.96vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.18-1.77vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.73+2.20vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.58-6.09vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.04-4.82vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.14vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.72-4.65vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.10-8.17vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.19-5.76vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.19-2.65vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.84-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Bowdoin College2.067.2%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College1.715.1%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University1.513.5%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University2.6815.9%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island1.814.5%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University1.623.9%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.1%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.0%1st Place
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8.23Yale University2.186.5%1st Place
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13.2Christopher Newport University0.731.6%1st Place
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5.91Boston College2.5812.0%1st Place
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8.18Tulane University2.046.8%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
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10.35Brown University1.724.2%1st Place
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7.83Harvard University2.107.0%1st Place
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11.24University of South Florida1.193.5%1st Place
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15.35Washington College0.191.2%1st Place
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12.91Princeton University0.842.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Derry | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Mateo Farina | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% |
| Peter Busch | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Jed Bell | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 37.2% |
| Asher Green | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.