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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.31vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+10.03vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.81+6.72vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.04+4.22vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.72+5.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.18+2.50vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65+2.74vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-0.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-1.01vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62-0.33vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-1.82vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.73+1.10vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.51-1.53vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-4.31vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.58-9.14vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.95vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.19-6.07vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.84-4.94vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.19-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Roger Williams University2.6814.2%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.2%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island1.814.5%1st Place
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8.22Tulane University2.045.9%1st Place
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10.36Brown University1.723.5%1st Place
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8.5Yale University2.187.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University2.107.2%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College2.067.1%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University1.624.8%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College1.715.0%1st Place
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13.1Christopher Newport University0.732.0%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University1.513.0%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.8%1st Place
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5.86Boston College2.5812.0%1st Place
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12.05Northeastern University1.073.1%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida1.194.3%1st Place
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13.06Princeton University0.841.8%1st Place
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15.35Washington College0.191.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jed Bell | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| bella casaretto | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Peter Busch | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Asher Green | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.