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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+4.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+6.41vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.07+6.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+3.19vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+0.04vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.43+7.66vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03-0.19vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-2.72vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-1.51vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.40+1.33vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.08-2.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.83-5.98vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.59-5.99vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.46-3.32vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.89-5.96vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Harvard University2.4813.9%1st Place
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7.78Brown University2.227.3%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.8%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.3%1st Place
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6.04Boston College2.0210.2%1st Place
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14.66Fairfield University-0.430.9%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.037.0%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University2.0910.8%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island1.425.2%1st Place
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12.33Boston University0.402.1%1st Place
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9.91Dartmouth College1.083.5%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University1.837.7%1st Place
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8.01Yale University1.596.2%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University0.462.4%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College0.893.9%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont1.054.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| William Kulas | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 51.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 14.8% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.