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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.18+7.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+3.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+4.85vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.63vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.04+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.81+3.69vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.06+0.94vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.86vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.72+1.59vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65-0.18vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-1.80vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.62-2.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-0.97vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.51-2.26vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.73-1.88vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-4.31vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.19-6.01vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.84-5.11vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.19-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Yale University2.186.8%1st Place
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5.92Boston College2.5813.0%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University2.107.9%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.7%1st Place
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8.19Tulane University2.046.2%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island1.815.1%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College2.066.6%1st Place
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5.14Roger Williams University2.6814.1%1st Place
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10.59Brown University1.722.9%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College1.714.7%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University1.625.2%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University1.513.4%1st Place
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13.12Christopher Newport University0.731.8%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.4%1st Place
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10.99University of South Florida1.193.7%1st Place
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12.89Princeton University0.842.6%1st Place
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15.49Washington College0.191.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Peter Busch | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| bella casaretto | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Jack Derry | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Asher Green | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.