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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.62+8.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.81+7.27vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.04+4.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+0.94vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+3.65vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+2.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51+3.87vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.18-0.28vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.72+0.48vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.73+2.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.12vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-2.81vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-1.79vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.19-3.51vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.58-9.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-7.09vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.84-5.00vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.19-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Fordham University1.625.2%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island1.815.3%1st Place
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7.44Tulane University2.047.5%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University2.6816.2%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College1.715.2%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.036.2%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University1.513.4%1st Place
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7.72Yale University2.186.9%1st Place
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9.48Brown University1.724.2%1st Place
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12.2Christopher Newport University0.733.0%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.9%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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10.49University of South Florida1.194.0%1st Place
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5.55Boston College2.5813.9%1st Place
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8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.2%1st Place
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12.0Princeton University0.842.1%1st Place
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14.55Washington College0.190.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Dolan | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
Thad Lettsome | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Carlos de Castro | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
bella casaretto | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
Thibault Antonietti | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Connor Rosow | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
Mateo Farina | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Jed Bell | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% |
Jack Derry | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
Micky Munns | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
Humberto Porrata | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
Peter Busch | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Julius Heitkoetter | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
Asher Green | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% |
Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.