Race 1A

south-1

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gordon Wolcott 15.1% 14.5% 16.7% 14.2% 12.3% 10.7% 7.2% 5.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 9.3% 13.8% 11.1% 13.4% 12.7% 11.2% 12.2% 7.6% 5.8% 1.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Victor Diaz De Leon 25.6% 19.9% 16.7% 12.4% 11.1% 6.6% 5.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Eichler 12.1% 13.7% 13.4% 14.4% 11.4% 12.2% 8.8% 7.3% 3.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 5.0% 5.7% 7.1% 7.4% 9.9% 11.0% 11.5% 11.8% 12.3% 11.2% 6.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Jaclyn Hollander 2.6% 1.7% 2.5% 3.7% 4.5% 6.0% 6.0% 9.6% 14.8% 18.4% 24.2% 6.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 15.1% 14.5% 16.7% 14.2% 12.3% 10.7% 7.2% 5.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Connors 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 8.3% 10.2% 12.4% 11.9% 12.2% 10.9% 7.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Michael Popp 15.7% 15.0% 14.0% 13.0% 12.5% 10.0% 8.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Bill Parker 1.4% 1.5% 2.9% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 6.9% 11.1% 13.7% 18.8% 28.7% 5.4% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 3.7% 4.8% 4.4% 5.0% 6.7% 8.9% 9.4% 13.1% 15.7% 15.0% 11.4% 1.9% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 3.9% 3.1% 3.9% 6.0% 6.6% 9.2% 10.0% 13.2% 14.2% 16.0% 11.8% 2.1% 0.0%
Jackson Dunitz 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.9% 0.0% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 7.4% 82.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.