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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.04+6.46vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+6.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+1.90vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+5.19vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18+2.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+5.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.81+2.24vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.72+1.69vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.58-3.52vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-1.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-0.24vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-2.72vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.19-2.58vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.73-1.88vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-6.13vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-4.84vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.19-2.55vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.84-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Tulane University2.048.4%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.035.8%1st Place
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4.9Roger Williams University2.6817.2%1st Place
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9.19Fordham University1.624.8%1st Place
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7.7Yale University2.186.5%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.8%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island1.815.7%1st Place
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9.69Brown University1.724.0%1st Place
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5.48Boston College2.5812.6%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College1.715.1%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University1.513.5%1st Place
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9.28Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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10.42University of South Florida1.193.9%1st Place
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12.12Christopher Newport University0.732.6%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.3%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University1.073.2%1st Place
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14.45Washington College0.191.1%1st Place
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12.14Princeton University0.842.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thad Lettsome | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 17.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Mateo Farina | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Derry | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Jed Bell | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Peter Busch | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 37.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.