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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.17+3.98vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+2.02vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.46+3.53vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.79vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.33-0.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54-2.98vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.37+0.82vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38-2.36vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.11-2.71vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-4.53vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.55-4.25vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.60-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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6.53Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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3.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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8.82William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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6.64George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.29Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.47Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.75Old Dominion University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Hoffmann | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.1% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 23.7% | 21.0% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 12.7% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 13.8% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.1% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 29.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 20.1% | 25.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 8.9% | 81.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.