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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.04+6.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+2.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+2.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+7.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+5.90vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+2.29vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.72+2.64vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.18-0.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.05vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.84+2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.81-2.08vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.71-3.61vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-3.83vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.73-1.74vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.62-5.73vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.19-1.33vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-5.88vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.19-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Tulane University2.046.9%1st Place
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4.84Roger Williams University2.6815.2%1st Place
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5.43Boston College2.5813.2%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.2%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University1.513.4%1st Place
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8.29Bowdoin College2.036.2%1st Place
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9.64Brown University1.724.2%1st Place
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7.75Yale University2.187.6%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.0%1st Place
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12.07Princeton University0.842.8%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island1.815.2%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College1.716.7%1st Place
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9.17Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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12.26Christopher Newport University0.732.4%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University1.624.4%1st Place
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14.67Washington College0.191.4%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.073.5%1st Place
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10.62University of South Florida1.193.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thad Lettsome | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.2% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jed Bell | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Farina | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Asher Green | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| bella casaretto | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 39.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.