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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.18+6.85vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+2.85vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.04+4.47vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+4.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.85vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.07+5.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+4.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.81+1.10vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+0.15vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51+0.70vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-2.42vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84+0.27vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.72-3.38vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.58-8.44vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.62-5.68vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.19-5.52vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.73-4.71vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.19-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Yale University2.187.1%1st Place
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4.85Roger Williams University2.6815.8%1st Place
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7.47Tulane University2.048.3%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College2.036.3%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.2%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island1.815.5%1st Place
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9.15Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University1.513.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College1.715.7%1st Place
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12.27Princeton University0.843.0%1st Place
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9.62Brown University1.724.5%1st Place
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5.56Boston College2.5812.8%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.624.7%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida1.193.2%1st Place
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12.29Christopher Newport University0.732.1%1st Place
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14.45Washington College0.191.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Jack Derry | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| bella casaretto | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Asher Green | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Jed Bell | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Peter Busch | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.