Race 3A

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Evan Hoffmann 11.3% 10.6% 11.1% 12.4% 12.9% 11.8% 11.2% 8.3% 6.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Victor Diaz De Leon 23.3% 21.3% 18.0% 12.6% 10.3% 7.3% 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 16.6% 15.3% 14.3% 12.1% 13.2% 10.4% 9.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Eichler 10.8% 15.2% 16.0% 13.0% 11.5% 10.3% 9.9% 6.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 5.6% 6.0% 5.9% 8.7% 9.1% 10.2% 12.0% 12.2% 12.8% 10.9% 5.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Michael Popp 15.1% 13.6% 13.4% 14.6% 12.4% 11.3% 8.2% 5.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 16.6% 15.3% 14.3% 12.1% 13.2% 10.4% 9.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 4.0% 4.5% 3.9% 6.4% 7.5% 7.0% 10.7% 12.4% 13.9% 16.3% 10.6% 2.8% 0.0%
Jaclyn Hollander 2.4% 2.7% 3.5% 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 7.4% 8.4% 12.1% 20.9% 24.0% 5.5% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 3.5% 3.0% 4.9% 6.8% 7.6% 9.7% 10.1% 14.2% 15.3% 13.6% 10.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Ian Connors 5.0% 5.9% 7.4% 6.2% 7.6% 11.8% 10.8% 13.5% 13.7% 10.4% 7.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Bill Parker 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 5.7% 8.9% 11.7% 18.4% 31.3% 8.2% 0.0%
Jackson Dunitz 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 8.9% 80.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.