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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+7.52vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.18+7.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+1.22vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.06+0.97vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.39+2.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.18+2.89vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.25+1.19vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.55+0.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-1.00vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-2.67vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.70-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.38-3.88vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.90-3.78vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.42-6.70vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.48-3.32vs Predicted
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18Washington College-1.01-2.61vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.46-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Roger Williams University2.4013.8%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University1.435.0%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.5%1st Place
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11.8Dartmouth College1.182.7%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.2010.4%1st Place
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6.97Tulane University2.069.7%1st Place
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9.1Boston University1.394.6%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College1.184.3%1st Place
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10.19Brown University1.254.0%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University1.553.8%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.4%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University1.715.0%1st Place
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8.79Yale University1.706.2%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island1.385.0%1st Place
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11.22University of South Florida0.903.0%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University1.426.0%1st Place
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13.68Christopher Newport University0.482.2%1st Place
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15.39Washington College-1.011.1%1st Place
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13.85Princeton University0.461.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zander King | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| William George | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Will Priebe | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alex Adams | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| David Grace | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 16.7% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 36.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.