Race 4A

south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gordon Wolcott 15.2% 16.2% 15.5% 13.0% 13.3% 10.9% 7.2% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 4.5% 5.3% 8.1% 8.6% 8.4% 10.3% 11.3% 14.7% 12.4% 9.9% 6.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 15.2% 16.2% 15.5% 13.0% 13.3% 10.9% 7.2% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Victor Diaz De Leon 25.9% 18.7% 16.7% 14.4% 9.8% 6.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Eichler 11.6% 14.8% 13.4% 13.5% 13.5% 11.1% 9.2% 6.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Connors 4.5% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 8.9% 10.6% 12.1% 12.1% 11.7% 11.4% 8.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Evan Hoffmann 12.0% 9.1% 11.5% 14.5% 13.2% 11.7% 11.6% 6.7% 5.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Popp 15.3% 17.2% 13.5% 11.6% 10.8% 12.4% 7.7% 6.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bill Parker 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 4.1% 4.4% 5.8% 9.7% 11.5% 17.4% 30.0% 7.4% 0.0%
Jaclyn Hollander 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 5.4% 9.6% 10.3% 13.8% 20.2% 22.7% 4.3% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.1% 5.0% 5.4% 4.7% 7.0% 8.1% 10.1% 14.1% 16.6% 14.0% 9.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 3.1% 3.3% 4.2% 5.7% 6.6% 7.6% 10.2% 11.3% 16.1% 16.6% 12.9% 2.4% 0.0%
Jackson Dunitz 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 3.2% 7.5% 82.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.